Calibration Variables
Variables used to calibrate model equations to historical values for electric loads, electric generation, electric prices, non-electric fuel prices, oil and gas development rate, oil and gas production rate, and oil refinery production are identified in the table below.
Supply Module Calibration Variables
|
Equation Calibrated |
Calibration Variable |
Variable Title (Units) |
|
Electric Loads (MonOut, PkLoad, MinLd) |
BaseAdj [Day,Month,Area,Year] |
Adjustment Factor (MW/MW) |
|
Electric generating capacity (UnGCD) |
UnOOR [Unit,Year] |
Operational Outage Rate (MW/MW) |
|
Electric retail price (PE) |
PEDC [ECC,ReCo,Year] |
Electricity Delivery Charge ($/MWh) |
|
Non-electric fuel prices (FPF) |
FPDChg [Prices,Area,Year] |
Fuel Delivery Charge ($/mmBtu) |
|
Oil-gas development rate (DvRateM) |
DevVF [OGUnit,Year] |
Development Rate Variance Factor for ROI (Btu/Btu) |
|
Oil-gas production rate (PdRateM) |
PdVF [OGUnit,Year] |
Production Rate Variance Factor for ROI (Btu/Btu) |
|
Oil refinery production (RfProd) |
RfOOR[RfUnit,Fuel,Year] RfMaxCrude[RfUnit,Crude,Year] |
Refinery Unit Operational Outage Rate (Btu/Btu) Refinery Maximum Input of Crude Types (TBtu/Yr) |